Thoughts, lists and other compulsive bits about baseball from comedian filmmaker television producer/Red Sox fan Paul Francis Sullivan....
feel free to call him “Sully.”
Monday, January 24, 2011
It is time for my OTHER obsession… the Oscars.
Yup, I need to take a quick pause from talking baseball to feed my other beast: I am an Oscars addict. Now I promise I won’t turn this blog into Sully: Oscars, but each year I need to make my predictions for the big show.
So here are my picks for the nominations that will be announced tomorrow morning. Note that these AREN’T the films that I think should necessarily win. These are the films that I think WILL be nominated.
Best Picture Black Swan The Fighter Inception The Kids are Alright The King’s Speech 127 Hours The Social Network Toy Story 3 True Grit Winter’s Bone
Best Director Darren Aronofsky - Black Swan Joel and Ethan Coen – True Grit David Fincher - The Social Network Tom Hooper - The King’s Speech Christopher Nolan – Inception
Best Actor Jeff Bridges – True Grit Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network Colin Firth – The King’s Speech James Franco – 127 Hours Mark Wahlberg – The Fighter
Best Actress Annette Bening – The Kids are Alright Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone Natalie Portman – Black Swan Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine
Best Supporting Actor Christian Bale – The Fighter Andrew Garfield – The Social Network Jeremy Renner – The Town Mark Ruffalo – The Kids are Alright Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech
Best Supporting Actress Amy Adams – The Fighter Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech Mila Kunis – Black Swan Melissa Leo – The Fighter Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit
Best Original Screenplay Black Swan The Fighter Inception The Kids are Alright The King’s Speech
Best Adapted Screenplay 127 Hours The Social Network The Town True Grit Winter’s Bone
Best Animated Feature Despicable Me How to Train Your Dragon The Illusionist Tangled Toy Story 3
Best Documentary Feature Client 9 Inside Job The Tillman Story Waiting for Superman Who is Harry Nilsson?
Best Art Direction Alice in Wonderland Black Swan Inception The King’s Speech True Grit
Best Cinematography Inception The King’s Speech 127 Hours The Social Network True Grit
Best Costume Design Alice in Wonderland Black Swan Burlesque The King’s Speech True Grit
Best Editing Black Swan The Fighter Inception 127 Hours The King’s Speech
Best Sound Black Swan Inception 127 Hours The Social Network True Grit
Best Sound Effects Editing Inception 127 Hours TRON: Legacy
Best Visual Effects Alice in Wonderland Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Inception The Social Network TRON: Legacy
Best Music Score Black Swan Inception The King’s Speech The Social Network True Grit
Best Original Song “I See the Light” – Tangled “If I Rise” – 127 Hours “Shine” – Waiting for Superman “We Belong Together” – Toy Story 3 “You Haven’t Seen The Last of Me Yet” - Burlesque
I am predicting that the Academy will not nominate David O. Russell… perhaps the clash with Lily Tomlin on Youtube would still be on their minds. And I think that the DVD release of Winter’s Bone will make it the surprise Best Picture nomination.
And while The Town will get shutout of the big prize, Ben Affleck will get another writing nomination.
And I am also predicting some serious distribution of wealth amongst the nominations. I see both The King’s Speech and True Grit getting double digit nominations with 10.
Black Swan, Inception and The Social Network should all get 9 nominations.
That’s 5 films with a pile of nominations. And with 8 nominations for 127 Hours and 7 for The Fighter the possibility of another upset is strong. (Remember how The Hurt Locker upset the blockbuster Avatar last year?)
Alrighty. Get some sleep. Tomorrow is nomination day and always a big day in my insane calendar.