Tomorrow it will be late August, and the NL MVP is all but sewn up.
Albert Pujols leads the league in homers, is second in RBI, 4th in batting average, has the leagues highest on base percentage and in slugging percentage. And you don't need to be a sabermatrician to know that means he leads the league in OPS. And he has done all of this without protection the first half of the season and has the Cardinals with the biggest lead in the NL.
No matter what your criteria is, Albert is the man.
Now the AL is a little trickier.
There is no cut and dry candidate running away with it like Albert... so with a little more than a month to go, let's figure out who the candidates are based on the different criteria.
OLD FASHIONED NUMBERS CRITERIA
The "I like Average, Homers, RBI" candidate isMIGUEL CABRERA
STAT HEAD CRITERIA
The "OPS and VORP make it a scientific process" candidate is
CAREER ACHIEVEMENT CRITERIA
The "Hey, he's never won it before and this is as good a chance as any" candidate is
TRUE MEANING OF VALUE CRITERIA
The "When he heated up the team heated up" candidate is
MARK TEIXEIRA
On May 12, Teixeira was hitting .191 with an OPS of .747.
The Yankees had a losing record and were 6 1/2 game behind Toronto.
Since then his batting average is up to .283. His OPS is .934. He is among the leaders in homers and RBI.
And oh yeah... the Yankees are 60-28 since then.
Granted that was also around the time A-Rod came back, but there is no way A-Rod is winning it this year.
PLAYING ON A TEAM WITH LOW EXPECTATIONS CRITERIA
The "Who would have guessed this team would be contending" candidate is
THE "PITCHERS ARE PLAYERS TOO!" CRITERIA
The "I don't care if they aren't every day players" candidate is
He's batting .334 with 24 homers and 72 RBI for the first place Tigers. And Cabrera is doing it all with Magglio Ordonez struggling.
I originally had Justin Morneau here, but he might be missing some time with that ear infection thingee and no doubt Cabrera will pass his power numbers.
STAT HEAD CRITERIA
The "OPS and VORP make it a scientific process" candidate isHe could set the highest batting average ever for a big league catcher. But forget batting average. He has the highest OPS in the league as well. And according to Baseball Prospectus, he is the only American Leaguer in the top 6 of VORP.
Now I still have no clue how VORP is or how it is calculated... but it sounds impressive.
Granted Mauer missed the first month of the season and the Twins are fading fast... but that evidently isn't calculated into VORP. Or maybe it is. I am confused.
CAREER ACHIEVEMENT CRITERIA
The "Hey, he's never won it before and this is as good a chance as any" candidate isFor all the talk of New York bias in the press, it is amazing to think that Jeter has never won it. He was robbed in 2006 by Twins first baseman Justin Morneau (who after Joe Mauer and Johan Santana was only the 3rd most valuable player on his own team.)
Jeter's average is up, he is a lock to hit 20 homers for the first time since 2004 and the Yankees are the best team in baseball.
That has to reflect well on the Captain!
TRUE MEANING OF VALUE CRITERIA
The "When he heated up the team heated up" candidate isMARK TEIXEIRA
On May 12, Teixeira was hitting .191 with an OPS of .747.
The Yankees had a losing record and were 6 1/2 game behind Toronto.
Since then his batting average is up to .283. His OPS is .934. He is among the leaders in homers and RBI.
And oh yeah... the Yankees are 60-28 since then.
Granted that was also around the time A-Rod came back, but there is no way A-Rod is winning it this year.
PLAYING ON A TEAM WITH LOW EXPECTATIONS CRITERIA
The "Who would have guessed this team would be contending" candidate isHe moved to third to make room for Elvis Andrus. And along the way is batting .320 with a .900 OPS. And the 5 time All Star has the Rangers as of this writing tied for a playoff spot in mid August. I bet you didn't see THAT coming!
THE "PITCHERS ARE PLAYERS TOO!" CRITERIA
The "I don't care if they aren't every day players" candidate isYeah I'll say it... Rivera is having an MVP caliber season as a closer.
He should have won the Cy Young AND the MVP in 2005. But there are still nitwits out there who believe the following three things:
1. A Pitcher can not be more important than an every day player.
NONSENSE
2. The Closer position is easy and can be filled by anyone
NONSENSE
3. Mariano Rivera is overrated
ADMIT THIS PERSON TO BELLEVUE
The Yankees have put Rivera into 36 save opportunities and save for the Jason Bay homer, he has converted them all. His ERA is sub 2.00. His WHIP is sub 1.00 and his BAA is around .200.
And he has 57 strikeouts in 51 innings and have walked only 8 all year.
I think Papelbon walked 8 YESTERDAY!
So chances are the MVP will come from this crop of players.
And before anyone can accuse me of being such a Red Sox homer that I can never tip my cap to the Yankees, please note... I have 3, count em, THREE Yankees as MVP candidates and zero Red Sox.
I don't have a vote. But I should.
Good post... I been thinking about this as well. If the Twins were able to get something going, then it would definitely be Mauer (my pre-season pick had Morneau winning it again)... I don't think Miguel Cabrera should win it because I don't think he is even MVP on his own team...here is hoping Mauer can win it just so a Yankee will not.
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